Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal Poly
Big West
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#301
Expected Predictive Rating-8.3#291
Pace62.5#302
Improvement-1.4#249

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#250
First Shot-1.5#223
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#295
Layup/Dunks-1.6#238
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#226
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#68
Freethrows-2.3#306
Improvement+0.3#164

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#314
First Shot-5.3#318
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#247
Layups/Dunks-0.2#184
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#342
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#129
Freethrows-2.1#300
Improvement-1.7#270
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 292   @ Pepperdine L 68-77 38%     0 - 1 -14.7 -12.8 -1.6
  Nov 13, 2016 114   @ Arizona St. L 74-96 9%     0 - 2 -16.4 -0.8 -15.3
  Nov 23, 2016 204   @ Northern Illinois W 68-64 20%     1 - 2 +3.9 +3.9 +0.4
  Nov 25, 2016 247   Illinois-Chicago L 71-84 36%     1 - 3 -18.1 -3.8 -14.3
  Nov 26, 2016 141   Elon L 66-72 17%     1 - 4 -4.8 +3.4 -8.8
  Dec 01, 2016 257   Texas San Antonio W 59-47 47%     2 - 4 +3.9 -12.7 +17.0
  Dec 03, 2016 207   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 82-70 37%     3 - 4 +6.5 +18.6 -10.2
  Dec 10, 2016 98   @ Fresno St. L 59-73 8%     3 - 5 -6.9 +0.3 -9.5
  Dec 17, 2016 57   @ California L 55-81 4%     3 - 6 -14.0 -0.1 -17.5
  Dec 20, 2016 156   @ Washington L 61-77 13%     3 - 7 -13.0 -10.8 -2.4
  Dec 28, 2016 161   @ Grand Canyon L 64-71 14%     3 - 8 -4.3 +0.7 -5.6
  Dec 31, 2016 76   @ Princeton L 52-81 5%     3 - 9 -19.5 -1.7 -25.0
  Jan 07, 2017 213   @ UC Davis L 64-68 22%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -4.8 +2.2 -7.5
  Jan 12, 2017 256   Cal St. Fullerton L 74-87 46%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -21.0 +1.7 -23.0
  Jan 14, 2017 328   @ UC Santa Barbara L 53-58 52%     3 - 12 0 - 3 -14.6 -8.8 -6.9
  Jan 18, 2017 143   UC Irvine L 48-70 23%     3 - 13 0 - 4 -23.4 -16.3 -9.8
  Jan 21, 2017 226   Long Beach St. L 92-98 OT 41%     3 - 14 0 - 5 -12.6 +2.7 -14.6
  Jan 26, 2017 143   @ UC Irvine W 79-66 12%     4 - 14 1 - 5 +16.7 +23.3 -4.6
  Jan 28, 2017 256   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 71-81 28%     4 - 15 1 - 6 -12.9 -0.4 -12.4
  Feb 02, 2017 213   UC Davis W 74-70 38%     5 - 15 2 - 6 -1.8 +5.7 -7.3
  Feb 04, 2017 307   UC Riverside L 56-67 62%     5 - 16 2 - 7 -23.1 -7.6 -17.8
  Feb 09, 2017 264   @ Hawaii L 65-74 30%     5 - 17 2 - 8 -12.5 -3.1 -10.0
  Feb 15, 2017 280   @ Cal St. Northridge W 85-71 35%     6 - 17 3 - 8 +9.0 +5.4 +3.5
  Feb 18, 2017 264   Hawaii L 61-82 48%     6 - 18 3 - 9 -29.5 -9.1 -22.3
  Feb 23, 2017 226   @ Long Beach St. W 78-71 24%     7 - 18 4 - 9 +5.5 +5.6 +0.1
  Feb 25, 2017 307   @ UC Riverside W 84-77 OT 43%     8 - 18 5 - 9 -0.1 +7.7 -8.1
  Mar 02, 2017 280   Cal St. Northridge W 76-70 54%     9 - 18 6 - 9 -4.1 -2.7 -1.2
  Mar 04, 2017 328   UC Santa Barbara L 44-57 71%     9 - 19 6 - 10 -27.6 -27.0 -2.3
  Mar 09, 2017 213   UC Davis L 55-66 29%     9 - 20 -14.3 -14.8 +0.3
Projected Record 9.0 - 20.0 6.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 100.0% 100.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%